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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Le Havre x Strasbourg Betting tips for December 15 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 15 December 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
Le Havre Le Havre
PREDICTION Strasbourg Wins Probability 52% 1 X 2
Strasbourg Strasbourg
ODD: @2.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Le Havre x Strasbourg Betting tips for December 15 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Le Havre x Strasbourg, Sunday, 15/12/2024
📅 15/12/2024
16:00
Le Havre Le Havre
2.81
X
3.20
Strasbourg Strasbourg
2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Le Havre x Strasbourg:

🔮 Strasbourg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Strasbourg, you can win up to $1250.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Le Havre x Strasbourg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Le Havre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Strasbourg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Strasbourg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Strasbourg as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Le Havre x Strasbourg for the France Ligue 1 – 15 of December

🏟️ Le Havre X Strasbourg – France Ligue 1
📅 15 of December, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Le Havre – Winning probability: 24.60% | Fair line: 4.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.15% | Fair line: 4.32
🔴 Strasbourg – Winning probability: 52.25% | Fair line: 1.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Le Havre
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Le Havre and Strasbourg.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236762 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Le Havre x Strasbourg

Is it a good idea to bet on Le Havre?

🔵 Le Havre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $452.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$297.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$264.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Strasbourg?

🔴 Strasbourg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $780.00;
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$300.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Le Havre x Strasbourg

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Le Havre
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Le Havre x Strasbourg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Le Havre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Le Havre.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Strasbourg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Le Havre x Strasbourg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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