Lens x Lyon Betting tips for September 15 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lens x Lyon, Sunday, 15/9/2024

📅 15/9/2024 15:45

Lens 1.78

X 3.75

Lyon 4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lens x Lyon:

🔮 Lens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lens, you can win up to $890.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Lens x Lyon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-77.0. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Lens scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Lyon, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Lens is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Lens has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Lyon playing at home.

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Analysis from Lens x Lyon for the France Ligue 1 – 15 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lens and Lyon.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1180290 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lens x Lyon

Is it worth betting on Lens?

🔵 Lens: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 740 times – profiting $577.20;
• And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$317.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $412.50;
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$437.50.

Should you bet on Lyon?

🔴 Lyon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $352.00;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$538.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lens x Lyon

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lens x Lyon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lens and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Lens.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Lyon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lens x Lyon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.