Lens x Marseille Betting tips for November 23 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 23/11/2024 16:00 |
 Lens2.20 |
X 3.46 |
Marseille  3.10 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lens x Marseille:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Lens x Marseille
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Important information for your tip for Lens x Marseille: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-147.0. |
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Analysis from Lens x Marseille for the France Ligue 1 – 23 of November
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🏟️ Lens X Marseille – France Ligue 1 |
When the best bet on Lens x Marseille is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225887 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lens x Marseille
Is it a good idea to bet on Lens?
🔵 Lens: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $492.00;
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$98.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $713.40;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$3.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on Marseille worth it?
🔴 Marseille: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lens x Marseille
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lens x Marseille
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Lens, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Lens.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lens x Marseille
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
