Lens x Montpellier Betting tips for December 8 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lens x Montpellier, Sunday, 8/12/2024

📅 8/12/2024 14:00

Lens 1.33

X 5.25

Montpellier 8.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lens x Montpellier:

🔮 Lens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lens, you can win up to $665.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Lens x Montpellier: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Montpellier, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lens conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Lens has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Montpellier playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Montpellier as away team: it comes from 8 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Lens x Montpellier?

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Analysis from Lens x Montpellier for the France Ligue 1 – 8 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lens and Montpellier.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233707 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lens x Montpellier

Is it worth betting on Lens?

🔵 Lens: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 880 times – profiting $290.40;
• And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$170.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $382.50;
• And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$527.50.

Should you bet on Montpellier?

🔴 Montpellier: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 30 times – profiting $210.00;
• And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$760.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lens x Montpellier

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Lens
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lens x Montpellier

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Lens, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Lens.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Montpellier.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lens x Montpellier

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.