Lens x Montpellier Betting tips for May 19 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lens x Montpellier, Sunday, 19/5/2024

📅 19/5/2024 19:00

Lens 1.50

X 4.50

Montpellier 5.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lens x Montpellier:

🔮 Lens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lens, you can win up to $750.00!

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Important information for your tip for Lens x Montpellier: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-4.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $933.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Montpellier scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Montpellier, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Lens matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Montpellier has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Lens x Montpellier for the France Ligue 1 – 19 of May

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lens x Montpellier right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1120517 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lens x Montpellier

Should you bet on Lens?

🔵 Lens: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $405.00
• And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$215.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $455.00;
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.00.

Should you bet on Montpellier?

🔴 Montpellier: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $322.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$608.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lens x Montpellier

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Lens
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lens x Montpellier

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Lens, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Lens.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Lens.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lens x Montpellier

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.