Lens x Nantes Betting tips for November 9 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 9/11/2024 18:00 |
 Lens1.57 |
X 4.00 |
Nantes  5.75 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lens x Nantes:
🔮 Lens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lens, you can win up to $785.00!
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Important information for your tip for Lens x Nantes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-167.0. |
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Analysis from Lens x Nantes for the France Ligue 1 – 9 of November
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🏟️ Lens X Nantes – France Ligue 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lens x Nantes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1218440 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lens x Nantes
Should you bet on Lens?
🔵 Lens: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $467.40
- And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$287.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $240.00;
- And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$680.00.
Should you bet on Nantes?
🔴 Nantes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $427.50
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$482.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lens x Nantes
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lens x Nantes
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Lens, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Lens. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lens x Nantes
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
