Lens x Rennes Betting tips for February 7 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lens x Rennes, Saturday, 7/2/2026

📅 7/2/2026 16:00

Lens 1.75

X 3.78

Rennes 4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lens x Rennes:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Lens x Rennes

Some important points for the tip for Lens x Rennes:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rennes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $93.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Rennes, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Rennes matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Rennes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Lens is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Lens has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Rennes playing at home.

🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Lens vs Rennes?

Lets analyze the match Lens vs Rennes in Ligue 1, which will take place at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, home of Lens. The stadium is a true fortress for the home team, with capacity for over 41,000 passionate fans, providing great support for Lens in their games.

📈 Table analysis: Lens is in second place with 46 points and a positive goal difference (+18), showing strength and consistency in the competition. Rennes is in sixth position with 31 points and a negative goal difference (-1), indicating a more irregular season. This difference in the table reflects Lenss greater need to maintain their positive streak to try to catch the leader PSG.

The recent performance of the teams confirms this disparity: in the last five home games, Lens won all (5 wins), scored an average of 1.6 goals per game, and conceded only 0.2 goals per match — solid defense! Conversely, Rennes has struggled away, with only two wins in their last five away games and a high average of goals conceded (2.6 per game). Additionally, the numbers show Rennes concedes more shots on target (5) than they create (5) away from home.

From the median odds, we have the normalized implied probabilities: Lens win ~53%, draw ~24%, Rennes win ~23%. Considering Lenss strong defensive stats at home and Renness less efficient offense away, my fair estimate would be around: Lens win between 55-58%, draw about 25%, Rennes win between 17-20%.

Calculating fair odds adjusted by qualitative analysis:

• Lens: Fair odds around @1.72 – @1.80
• Draw: Fair odds near @4.00
• Rennes: Fair odds above @5.00

The comparison with the final odds shows a positive expected value for betting on Lens, as bookmakers offer @1.75 while my forecast indicates a higher real chance; betting on the draw or the away win does not present an attractive expected value due to high odds versus low realistic probability.

It is very important to highlight 📰 that despite Renness recent significant losses in the Cup (3-0 against Marseille) and negotiations involving key players like Jérémy Jacquet leaving for Liverpool — this could negatively impact their performance in this tough away match.
On the other hand, RC Lens is on an incredible home winning streak (10 consecutive wins!) plus the motivating signing of Allan Saint-Maximin, further strengthening their offensive squad.

Final analysis:
I fully agree with the betting suggestion made by the Bets Kenya model focused on the home team/Lens victory (@1.678). My analysis confirms this choice as safe and valuable at this moment — EV calculated is above +4%, indicating a good opportunity.
Avoid bets on the draw or away victory here; these are unlikely scenarios given the clear superiority demonstrated by RC Lens both statistically and in recent news.
Lets bet on the solid favoritism of this strong team playing in front of their vibrant home crowd! ⚽🔥

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Lens x Rennes?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lens x Rennes, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lens x Rennes for the France Ligue 1 – 7 of February

Latest news on Lens x Rennes

RC Lens: RC Lens has once again moved closer to the top of Ligue 1, occupying second place behind PSG with 15 wins, one draw, and four losses in 20 matches (46 points, goal difference of +18), and has extended their home winning streak to ten matches after a 1-0 victory over Le Havre on January 30, which briefly put them in the lead; the club also advanced in the Coupe de France, beating Troyes 4-2 on February 4 and reaching the quarter-finals, and in early February announced the signing of winger Allan Saint-Maximin, which prompted the club to issue a strong statement condemning racist comments posted on the announcement video on social media; Lenss next Ligue 1 match is pending, while the womens team is scheduled to face Paris FC in the Coupe de la Ligue Femmes on February 4.

Rennes: Rennes recently lost 3-0 to Marseille in the Coupe de France quarter-finals, with goals from Mason Greenwood, Amine Gouiri, and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, while a controversial play by Arsenal loan Ethan Nwaneri resulted in only a yellow card; the team, currently sixth in Ligue 1, also saw 20-year-old defender Jérémy Jacquet complete a transfer between 60 and 64 million pounds to Liverpool but remain on loan at Rennes for the rest of the 2025-26 season, a deal that coach Habib Beye described as the best possible agreement despite his disappointment, and the club accepted an offer of 30 million euros plus 3 million in add-ons for 18-year-old forward Mohamed Kader Meïté, who is about to join Saudi team Al Hilal after prior interest from Manchester United.

Table analysis for the match between Lens and Rennes

Lens: Lens is in 2nd place with 46 points, strongly fighting for the league leadership and a direct spot in the Champions League. Just 2 points behind PSG, which is leading, this match is crucial for Lens to try to close the gap and stay in the title race. Additionally, any slip-up could remove the team from the direct Champions League qualification spot, emphasizing the maximum importance of the home game. ⚽🔥

Rennes: Rennes appears in 6th place with 31 points, seeking a spot in European competitions, possibly the Conference League. The difference to 5th place Lille is only 1 point, so the match against a direct rival at the top of the table is essential to climb the standings and secure at least one European spot, which is an important goal for the club at this stage of the season. 🚀

Summary: The game is very important for both teams, as Lens fights to maintain the leadership and a direct spot in the Champions League, while Rennes seeks to approach the G-5 to ensure participation in international competitions. The match promises to be competitive and decisive for both teams plans in Ligue 1.

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Lens x Rennes

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Lens x Rennes.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lens x Rennes

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lens x Rennes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1475397 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Should you bet on Lens?

🔵 Lens: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $450.00;
• And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$50.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $611.60;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$168.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Rennes?

🔴 Rennes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $576.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lens x Rennes

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lens x Rennes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Lens and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Lens.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Rennes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lens x Rennes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Lens x Rennes