Lens x St Etienne Betting tips for April 6 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lens x St Etienne, Sunday, 6/4/2025

📅 6/4/2025 13:00

Lens 1.55

X 4.40

St Etienne 5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lens x St Etienne:

🔮 Lens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lens, you can win up to $775.00!

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The main points for the tip for Lens x St Etienne: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-155.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on St Etienne in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, St Etienne scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, St Etienne conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Lens x St Etienne for the France Ligue 1 – 6 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lens and St Etienne.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1296560 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lens x St Etienne

Is it worth betting on Lens?

🔵 Lens: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 880 times – having a profit of $484.00;
• And would have lost other 120 times – with a loss of -$120.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$364.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $238.00
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$692.00.

Should you bet on St Etienne?

🔴 St Etienne: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $200.00;
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$750.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lens x St Etienne

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Lens
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lens x St Etienne

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Lens, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Lens.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Lens.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lens x St Etienne

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.