Lens x Toulouse Betting tips for January 5 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lens x Toulouse, Sunday, 5/1/2025

📅 5/1/2025 14:00

Lens 1.85

X 3.50

Toulouse 4.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lens x Toulouse:

🔮 Lens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lens, you can win up to $925.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Lens x Toulouse: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Toulouse in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0. 👉 Toulouse did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Toulouse, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Lens has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Toulouse.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Lens x Toulouse?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Lens x Toulouse for the France Ligue 1 – 5 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lens x Toulouse right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242039 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lens x Toulouse

Should you bet on Lens?

🔵 Lens: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 550 times – profiting $467.50;
• And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$17.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $675.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Is betting on Toulouse worth it?

🔴 Toulouse: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $527.00;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$303.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lens x Toulouse

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lens
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lens x Toulouse

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lens and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Lens. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lens x Toulouse

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.