Lorient x Metz Betting tips for January 4 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 4/1/2026 16:15 |
 Lorient1.74 |
X 3.70 |
Metz  4.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lorient x Metz:
🔮 Lorient wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lorient, you can win up to $870.00!
The main points for the tip for Lorient x Metz:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lorient in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Metz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $23.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lorient scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Metz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Metz matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lorient x Metz?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lorient x Metz, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Lorient x Metz for the France Ligue 1 – 4 of January
🏟️ Lorient X Metz – France Ligue 1
📅 4 of January, 2026 – 16:15
🔵 Lorient – Winning probability: 63.25% | Fair line: 1.58
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.83% | Fair line: 4.58
🔴 Metz – Winning probability: 14.92% | Fair line: 6.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lorient
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lorient x Metz
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lorient x Metz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1457948 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Is it a good idea to bet on Lorient?
🔵 Lorient: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $466.20;
- And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$96.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$186.00.
Is betting on Metz worth it?
🔴 Metz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $525.00;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$325.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lorient x Metz
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lorient
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lorient x Metz
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Lorient, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Lorient.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Metz.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lorient x Metz
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
