Lyon x Montpellier Betting tips for January 4 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lyon x Montpellier, Saturday, 4/1/2025

📅 4/1/2025 20:00

Lyon 1.32

X 5.50

Montpellier 7.94

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lyon x Montpellier:

🔮 Lyon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lyon, you can win up to $660.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Lyon x Montpellier: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $23.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Montpellier did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lyon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Montpellier, Lyon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Lyon x Montpellier, with Lyon as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Lyon conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Montpellier. 👉 Lyon is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Montpellier as away team: it comes from 8 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Lyon x Montpellier?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Lyon x Montpellier for the France Ligue 1 – 4 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lyon x Montpellier right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1241796 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lyon x Montpellier

Is it a good idea to bet on Lyon?

🔵 Lyon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 95.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 950 times – profiting $304.00;
• And would have lost other 50 times – with a loss of -$50.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$254.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 30 times – profiting $135.00;
• And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$835.00.

Is betting on Montpellier worth it?

🔴 Montpellier: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $138.80;
• And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$841.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lyon x Montpellier

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Lyon
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lyon x Montpellier

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Lyon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Lyon.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Lyon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lyon x Montpellier

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.