Lyon x Nantes Betting tips for October 6 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lyon x Nantes, Sunday, 6/10/2024

📅 6/10/2024 10:00

Lyon 1.77

X 3.75

Nantes 4.33

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lyon x Nantes:

🔮 Lyon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lyon, you can win up to $885.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Lyon x Nantes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-127.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nantes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $5.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lyon scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Nantes, Lyon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Nantes has not lost any of them. 👉 Lyon has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Nantes playing at home.

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Analysis from Lyon x Nantes for the France Ligue 1 – 6 of October

When the best bet on Lyon x Nantes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1195226 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lyon x Nantes

Is betting on Lyon worth it?

🔵 Lyon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.77. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $508.20;
• And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$168.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $440.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is it worth betting on Nantes?

🔴 Nantes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $632.70;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$177.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lyon x Nantes

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lyon
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lyon x Nantes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Lyon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Lyon.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lyon x Nantes

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.