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Home » Predictions » Lyon x St Etienne Betting tips for November 10 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 19h45 France Ligue 1
Lyon Lyon
PREDICTION Lyon wins Probability 88% 1 X 2
St Etienne St Etienne
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Lyon x St Etienne Betting tips for November 10 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Lyon x St Etienne, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
19:45
Lyon Lyon
1.30
X
5.75
St Etienne St Etienne
8.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lyon x St Etienne:

🔮 Lyon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lyon, you can win up to $650.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Lyon x St Etienne:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-137.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on St Etienne in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against St Etienne, Lyon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 St Etienne matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, St Etienne conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Lyon has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against St Etienne playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Lyon x St Etienne?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Lyon x St Etienne for the France Ligue 1 – 10 of November

🏟️ Lyon X St Etienne – France Ligue 1
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Lyon – Winning probability: 88.42% | Fair line: 1.13
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.72% | Fair line: 26.91
🔴 St Etienne – Winning probability: 7.86% | Fair line: 12.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Lyon
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lyon x St Etienne right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218874 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lyon x St Etienne

Is it a good idea to bet on Lyon?

🔵 Lyon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $264.00
  • And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$144.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $190.00
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$770.00.

Should you bet on St Etienne?

🔴 St Etienne: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$360.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lyon x St Etienne

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Lyon
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lyon x St Etienne

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Lyon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Lyon.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Lyon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lyon x St Etienne

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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