Lyon x St Etienne Betting tips for November 10 in France Ligue 1
📅 10/11/2024 19:45 |
Lyon 1.30 |
X 5.75 |
St Etienne 8.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lyon x St Etienne:
🔮 Lyon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lyon, you can win up to $650.00!
Important information for your tip for Lyon x St Etienne: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-137.0. |
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Analysis from Lyon x St Etienne for the France Ligue 1 – 10 of November
🏟️ Lyon X St Etienne – France Ligue 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lyon x St Etienne right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218874 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Lyon x St Etienne
Is it a good idea to bet on Lyon?
🔵 Lyon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $264.00
- And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$144.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $190.00
- And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$770.00.
Should you bet on St Etienne?
🔴 St Etienne: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$360.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lyon x St Etienne
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Lyon
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lyon x St Etienne
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Lyon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Lyon.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Lyon.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lyon x St Etienne
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.