Marseille x Auxerre Betting tips for November 8 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Marseille x Auxerre, Friday, 8/11/2024

📅 8/11/2024 19:45

Marseille 1.39

X 5.00

Auxerre 6.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Marseille x Auxerre:

🔮 Marseille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Marseille, you can win up to $695.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Marseille x Auxerre: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-186.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Auxerre scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Auxerre matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Marseille received red cards in the last 3 matches as the home team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Auxerre conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Marseille x Auxerre?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Marseille x Auxerre, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Marseille x Auxerre for the France Ligue 1 – 8 of November

When the best bet on Marseille x Auxerre is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1218236 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Marseille x Auxerre

Is it worth betting on Marseille?

🔵 Marseille: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 850 times – this would give you a profit of $331.50
• And would have lost other 150 times – with a loss of -$150.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$181.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $280.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$650.00.

Is betting on Auxerre worth it?

🔴 Auxerre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $456.00;
• And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$464.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Marseille x Auxerre

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Marseille
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marseille x Auxerre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Marseille, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Marseille.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Auxerre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marseille x Auxerre

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.