Marseille x Le Havre Betting tips for January 5 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 5/1/2025 19:45 |
 Marseille1.32 |
X 5.40 |
Le Havre  8.83 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Marseille x Le Havre:
🔮 Marseille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Marseille, you can win up to $660.00!
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The main points for the tip for Marseille x Le Havre: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. |
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Analysis from Marseille x Le Havre for the France Ligue 1 – 5 of January
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🏟️ Marseille X Le Havre – France Ligue 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Marseille x Le Havre right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1242039 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Marseille x Le Havre
Is it worth betting on Marseille?
🔵 Marseille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 87.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 880 times – having a profit of $281.60;
- And would lose other 120 times – having a loss of -$120.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$161.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $264.00
- And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$676.00.
Is betting on Le Havre worth it?
🔴 Le Havre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 70 times – profiting $548.10;
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$381.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Marseille x Le Havre
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Marseille
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marseille x Le Havre
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Marseille, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Marseille.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Le Havre.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marseille x Le Havre
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
