Marseille x Lille Betting tips for December 14 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Marseille x Lille, Saturday, 14/12/2024

📅 14/12/2024 16:00

Marseille 2.16

X 3.40

Lille 3.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Marseille x Lille:

🔮 Lille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lille, you can win up to $1625.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Marseille x Lille: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $735.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Lille scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Marseille matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Lille matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Marseille conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lille conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Lille has not lost any of them. 👉 Marseille has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Lille playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Marseille x Lille?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Marseille x Lille:

Analysis from Marseille x Lille for the France Ligue 1 – 14 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Marseille and Lille.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1236358 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Marseille x Lille

Should you bet on Marseille?

🔵 Marseille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $510.40;
• And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$49.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $456.00;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$354.00.

Is it worth betting on Lille?

🔴 Lille: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $832.50;
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$202.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Marseille x Lille

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Marseille
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marseille x Lille

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Marseille, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Marseille.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marseille x Lille

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.