Marseille x Lyon Betting tips for February 2 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Marseille x Lyon, Sunday, 2/2/2025

📅 2/2/2025 19:45

Marseille 1.97

X 3.80

Lyon 3.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Marseille x Lyon:

🔮 Marseille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Marseille, you can win up to $985.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Marseille x Lyon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-395.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Marseille scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Marseille conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Lyon has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Marseille x Lyon for the France Ligue 1 – 2 of February

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Marseille and Lyon.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Marseille x Lyon

Is it worth betting on Marseille?

🔵 Marseille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.97. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $533.50;
• And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$83.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $420.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lyon?

🔴 Lyon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $744.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$54.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Marseille x Lyon

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Marseille
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marseille x Lyon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Marseille and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Marseille.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Marseille.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marseille x Lyon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.