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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Marseille x Monaco Betting tips for December 1 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 19h45 France Ligue 1
Marseille Marseille
PREDICTION Monaco Wins Probability 40% 1 X 2
Monaco Monaco
ODD: @2.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Marseille x Monaco Betting tips for December 1 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Marseille x Monaco, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
19:45
Marseille Marseille
2.50
X
3.45
Monaco Monaco
2.62

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Marseille x Monaco:

🔮 Monaco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monaco, you can win up to $1310.00!

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The main points for the tip for Marseille x Monaco:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $215.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Monaco scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Marseille conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Marseille conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Monaco.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Marseille x Monaco?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Marseille x Monaco for the France Ligue 1 – 1 of December

🏟️ Marseille X Monaco – France Ligue 1
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Marseille – Winning probability: 37.72% | Fair line: 2.65
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.45% | Fair line: 4.66
🔴 Monaco – Winning probability: 40.82% | Fair line: 2.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Marseille
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Marseille x Monaco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Marseille x Monaco

Is betting on Marseille worth it?

🔵 Marseille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$50.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $514.50
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$275.50.

Is betting on Monaco worth it?

🔴 Monaco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $664.20;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$74.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Marseille x Monaco

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Marseille
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Marseille x Monaco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Marseille, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Marseille.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Marseille.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Marseille x Monaco

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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