Metz x PSG Betting tips for May 19 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Metz x PSG, Sunday, 19/5/2024

📅 19/5/2024 19:00

Metz 5.25

X 5.00

PSG 1.48

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Metz x PSG:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $740.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Metz x PSG: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Metz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $250.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $465.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Metz scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Metz matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Metz conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, PSG conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Metz conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against PSG. 👉 Even as a visitor, PSG won the last 5 head-to-head matches Metz´s territory

Looking for another bookie to bet on Metz x PSG?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Metz x PSG:

Analysis from Metz x PSG for the France Ligue 1 – 19 of May

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Metz and PSG.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1120517 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Metz x PSG

Is it a good idea to bet on Metz?

🔵 Metz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $382.50
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$527.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$450.00.

Is it worth betting on PSG?

🔴 PSG: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 800 times – this would give you a profit of $384.00
• And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$184.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Metz x PSG

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Metz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Metz x PSG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Metz and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Metz.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Metz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Metz x PSG

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.