Monaco x Angers Betting tips for February 28 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 28/2/2026 18:00 |
 Monaco1.47 |
X 4.33 |
Angers  6.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Monaco x Angers:
🔮 Angers wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Angers, you can win up to $3000.00!
Important information for your tip for Monaco x Angers:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-171.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Angers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Monaco scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Monaco x Angers, with Monaco as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Monaco matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Monaco vs Angers?
Lets analyze the match between Monaco and Angers at Stade Louis II, which is Monacos usual stadium, giving them the home advantage. Based on recent statistics, Monaco has shown good offensive performance at home with an average of 2 goals per game and a reasonable defense conceding 1 goal per match. Meanwhile, Angers struggles offensively away from home, scoring an average of 0 goals and conceding 1 goal per game.
The implied probabilities of median odds are: Monaco win (1/1.47 = 0.68), draw (1/4.33 = 0.23), and Angers win (1/5.95 = 0.168). Normalizing to sum to 1, we get approximately: Monaco with 63%, draw with 21%, and Angers with about 16%. This makes sense given Monacos recent dominance in Ligue 1 and their good form.
Considering the average goals scored and conceded, along with lower ball possession than the opponent but compensated by higher offensive efficiency, I estimate fair probabilities close to these normalized values: Monaco victory around ~62%, draw ~22%, and Angers victory ~16%. Fair odds would then be approximately: Monaco @1.61, Draw @4.55, Angers @6.25.
Looking at the final odds offered by bookmakers (Monaco @1.5; Draw @4.10; Angers @6.5), we see value in betting on the visitor because the final odds are above the estimated fair odds (@6.5 vs @6.25), but this value is small to justify a safe bet.
The Bets Kenya model suggests a very high odds for the home team win (2.11) which does not align with the statistics or the bookmakers odds – it seems to overestimate this possibility – while strongly undervaluing the realistic chance of the visiting team winning (@3 vs our lowest estimate). The expected value calculated by the model indicates a positive bet only on the visitor win (+93%), but this seems exaggerated given the current scenario of the teams.
📰 News: Monaco comes energized after reversing a tough score against league leader Lens recently under new coach Pocognoli, showing mental strength important for European qualification; meanwhile, Angers is oscillating in mid-table after a recent negative streak — this further reinforces the moral superiority of the home team in this match.
📈 Positional Analysis: Monaco is fighting for European spots while Angers struggles to stay away from the relegation zone with no major immediate ambitions — this gives extra motivation for Monaco to win playing at their traditional Stade Louis II.
Final suggestion: I partially agree with the model regarding the excessive devaluation of Monacos victory in its predicted odds; I believe a higher probability for this option (~62%) but without much profitable margin at current odds (@1.50). The best bet here would be to avoid betting on the draw or the visitor due to their very low chances according to recent data — so my recommendation is to moderately bet on AS MONACO victory, even if EV is slightly negative due to the narrow margin in final odds.
Good luck! ⚽🔥
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Analysis from Monaco x Angers for the France Ligue 1 – 28 of February
🏟️ Monaco X Angers – France Ligue 1
📅 28 of February, 2026 – 18:00
🔵 Monaco – Winning probability: 52.39% | Fair line: 1.91
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.36% | Fair line: 4.68
🔴 Angers – Winning probability: 26.25% | Fair line: 3.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Latest news on Monaco x Angers
AS Monaco: AS Monaco, now managed by coach Sébastien Pocognoli, sparked a late-season comeback by overturning a two-goal deficit to beat league leader RC Lens 3-2, lifting them to eighth place, tied with Lille in fifth, with three wins in their last four Ligue 1 matches; however, their European hopes were dashed in the Champions League playoffs when a 2-2 draw at Parc des Princes led to a 5-4 aggregate elimination by Paris Saint-Germain, after a red card to Mamadou Coulibaly, leaving the Principality team focused on securing a European spot for next season.
Angers SCO: Angers SCO is floating around mid-table in Ligue 1 (around positions 10 to 12) after a series of defeats – a 2-0 loss to Lorient, a 2-1 away loss to Le Havre, and a 1-0 home loss to Toulouse – and is preparing for a crucial league match against Lille at Stade Raymond Kopa on February 22, 2026; meanwhile, the clubs reserve team, Angers II, is scheduled to face SO Châtellerault in National 3 on March 7, 2026.
Table analysis for the game between Monaco and Angers
Monaco: Monaco is in 8th place with 34 points, close to teams competing for European competition spots, but still far from the top 6 positions that guarantee qualification for international tournaments. With an 8-point gap to 6th place Rennes, and considering that the game is in the 29th round out of 38, Monaco still has chances to improve its position but needs to earn more points to reach an European qualification zone. Therefore, this match against Angers is important to stay in the fight for the top of the table and try to qualify for international competitions. ⚽🔥
Angers: Angers is in 12th place with 29 points, just 7 points ahead of the relegation zone (positions 18, 17, and 16), which has teams with 17 and 13 points. Although currently in a comfortable position to avoid relegation, the difference isnt huge, and a poor streak could complicate things. So, this game is important for Angers to earn points and further distance itself from the threat of relegation, ensuring safety for the final stretch of the competition. 🚨
Summary: The match is important for both teams: Monaco seeks to get closer to European spots, while Angers wants to stay away from relegation. A game full of motivation on both sides! ⚔️
How the handicap and odds moved for Monaco x Angers
It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Monaco x Angers.
Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of 3.45%, the odds for Monaco are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @1.45 for Monaco and now the odds are @1.5.
📊 With a variation of 3.17%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @4.2 for Draw and now the odds are @4.333.
📊 The odds for Angers had a slight Decreased of -7.14%: the market opened with odds of @7.0 for Angers and now the odds are @6.5.
📊 The market decreased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -1.25 is now at -1.00 for Monaco.
📊 The market expects less goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 3.00 and now is at 2.75 goals.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Monaco x Angers
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monaco x Angers right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1488452 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Should you bet on Monaco?
🔵 Monaco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 520 times – profiting $244.40;
- And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$235.60.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $699.30;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$90.70.
Is it a good idea to bet on Angers?
🔴 Angers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $1300.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$560.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Monaco x Angers
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monaco x Angers
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Monaco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Monaco.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Angers.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monaco x Angers
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Monaco x Angers
Who is the favourite for Monaco x Angers?
According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is Monaco, with a win probability of 52.39%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!
Who will win: Monaco or Angers?
There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Monaco has the better chance to win, with a probability of 52.39%. If you choose to back Monaco, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Monaco beating Angers today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Monaco would take victory in roughly 52 of them versus Angers.
What are the chances of Angers beating Monaco today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Angers to win approximately 26 of them against Monaco.
Which team should I bet on: Monaco or Angers?
A good bettor always searches for positive expected value bets. Our analysis suggests: Angers Wins as the best pick, with EV of 70.60%. Bet responsibly and practice sound bankroll management: keep stakes under 2% of your capital!
How much is Monaco paying today? See what you can win by betting on Monaco x Angers:
The average odds for Monaco to beat Angers today are 1.47. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh1470.00 if Monaco wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Angers paying today? See what you can win by betting on Monaco x Angers:
The odds for Angers to beat Monaco today are around 6.00. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh6000.00 if Angers wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
