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Home » Predictions » Monaco x Brest Betting tips for November 22 in France Ligue 1
Friday, 22 November 2024, 18h00 France Ligue 1
Monaco Monaco
PREDICTION Monaco wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Brest Brest
ODD: @1.54 Don't miss this prediction!

Monaco x Brest Betting tips for November 22 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Monaco x Brest, Friday, 22/11/2024
📅 22/11/2024
18:00
Monaco Monaco
1.54
X
4.33
Brest Brest
5.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Monaco x Brest:

🔮 Monaco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monaco, you can win up to $770.00!

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Important information for your tip for Monaco x Brest:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-103.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $610.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Brest scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Brest, Monaco scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Brest matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Brest conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Monaco has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Brest.

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Summary

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Analysis from Monaco x Brest for the France Ligue 1 – 22 of November

🏟️ Monaco X Brest – France Ligue 1
📅 22 of November, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Monaco – Winning probability: 75.92% | Fair line: 1.32
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.56% | Fair line: 6.87
🔴 Brest – Winning probability: 9.52% | Fair line: 10.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Monaco x Brest is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225205 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monaco x Brest

Should you bet on Monaco?

🔵 Monaco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 760 times – having a profit of $410.40;
  • And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$170.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $499.50;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$350.50.

Is betting on Brest worth it?

🔴 Brest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$450.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Monaco x Brest

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monaco x Brest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Monaco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Monaco.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Brest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monaco x Brest

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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