Monaco x Lens Betting tips for September 1 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Monaco x Lens, Sunday, 1/9/2024

📅 1/9/2024 10:00

Monaco 1.86

X 3.80

Lens 3.79

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Monaco x Lens:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Monaco x Lens

The main points for the tip for Monaco x Lens: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-216.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-178.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Monaco scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Lens matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Monaco x Lens for the France Ligue 1 – 1 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Monaco and Lens.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1171332 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monaco x Lens

Should you bet on Monaco?

🔵 Monaco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $447.20;
• And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$32.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $644.00;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$126.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lens?

🔴 Lens: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $697.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$52.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monaco x Lens

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monaco x Lens

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Monaco, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Monaco.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monaco x Lens

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.