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Home ยป Predictions ยป France Ligue 1 ยป Monaco x Lille Betting tips for October 18 in France Ligue 1
Friday, 18 October 2024, 18h45 France Ligue 1
Monaco Monaco
PREDICTION Monaco wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Lille Lille
ODD: @1.93 Don't miss this prediction!

Monaco x Lille Betting tips for October 18 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Monaco x Lille, Friday, 18/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 18/10/2024
18:45
Monaco Monaco
1.93
X
3.70
Lille Lille
3.68

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Monaco x Lille:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Monaco wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monaco, you can win up to $965.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Monaco x Lille:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $383.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Monaco scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Monaco matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Monaco conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Monaco is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Monaco has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Lille playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Monaco x Lille?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monaco x Lille, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Monaco x Lille for the France Ligue 1 – 18 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Monaco X Lille – France Ligue 1
๐Ÿ“… 18 of October, 2024 – 18:45
๐Ÿ”ต Monaco – Winning probability: 63.95% | Fair line: 1.56
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.26% | Fair line: 6.15
๐Ÿ”ด Lille – Winning probability: 19.79% | Fair line: 5.05
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Monaco
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Monaco x Lille is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203336 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monaco x Lille

Should you bet on Monaco?

๐Ÿ”ต Monaco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – profiting $595.20;
  • And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$235.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $432.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$408.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lille?

๐Ÿ”ด Lille: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $536.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$264.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Monaco x Lille

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Monaco
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monaco x Lille

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Monaco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Monaco.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Lille.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monaco x Lille

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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