Monaco x Marseille Betting tips for April 12 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Monaco x Marseille, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025 15:00

Monaco 2.00

X 3.80

Marseille 3.35

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Monaco x Marseille:

🔮 Monaco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monaco, you can win up to $1000.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Monaco x Marseille: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $116.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Monaco scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Monaco matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Marseille matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Marseille conceded at least 3 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Monaco conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Marseille. 👉 Monaco is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Marseille as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monaco x Marseille?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Monaco x Marseille for the France Ligue 1 – 12 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monaco x Marseille right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1301554 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monaco x Marseille

Should you bet on Monaco?

🔵 Monaco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $710.00
• And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$420.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $336.00
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$544.00.

Should you bet on Marseille?

🔴 Marseille: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $399.50
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$430.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monaco x Marseille

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monaco x Marseille

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Monaco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Monaco.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Monaco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monaco x Marseille

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.