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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Monaco x PSG Betting tips for December 18 in France Ligue 1
Wednesday, 18 December 2024, 20h00 France Ligue 1
Monaco Monaco
PREDICTION PSG Wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
PSG PSG
ODD: @2.14 Don't miss this prediction!

Monaco x PSG Betting tips for December 18 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Monaco x PSG, Wednesday, 18/12/2024
📅 18/12/2024
20:00
Monaco Monaco
3.02
X
3.75
PSG PSG
2.14

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monaco x PSG:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $1070.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Monaco x PSG:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-32.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-68.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Monaco scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Monaco has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against PSG playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Monaco x PSG?

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Analysis from Monaco x PSG for the France Ligue 1 – 18 of December

🏟️ Monaco X PSG – France Ligue 1
📅 18 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Monaco – Winning probability: 12.62% | Fair line: 7.92
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.98% | Fair line: 11.14
🔴 PSG – Winning probability: 78.40% | Fair line: 1.28
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Monaco x PSG is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1238362 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monaco x PSG

Is it a good idea to bet on Monaco?

🔵 Monaco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $262.60;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$607.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $247.50;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$662.50.

Should you bet on PSG?

🔴 PSG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 78.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 780 times – profiting $889.20;
  • And would lose other 220 times – losing -$220.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$669.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monaco x PSG

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monaco x PSG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Monaco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Monaco.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 PSG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monaco x PSG

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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