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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Monaco x Toulouse Betting tips for December 7 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 07 December 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
Monaco Monaco
PREDICTION Monaco wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Toulouse Toulouse
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Monaco x Toulouse Betting tips for December 7 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Monaco x Toulouse, Saturday, 7/12/2024
📅 7/12/2024
16:00
Monaco Monaco
1.70
X
3.95
Toulouse Toulouse
4.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Monaco x Toulouse:

🔮 Monaco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monaco, you can win up to $850.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Monaco x Toulouse:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-217.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Toulouse in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Toulouse, Monaco scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Monaco x Toulouse, with Monaco as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Monaco conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Monaco conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Toulouse.

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Summary

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Analysis from Monaco x Toulouse for the France Ligue 1 – 7 of December

🏟️ Monaco X Toulouse – France Ligue 1
📅 7 of December, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Monaco – Winning probability: 67.08% | Fair line: 1.49
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.07% | Fair line: 3.99
🔴 Toulouse – Winning probability: 7.85% | Fair line: 12.74
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Monaco x Toulouse is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1233239 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monaco x Toulouse

Should you bet on Monaco?

🔵 Monaco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $469.00
  • And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$139.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $737.50;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$12.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on Toulouse?

🔴 Toulouse: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $280.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$640.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monaco x Toulouse

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monaco x Toulouse

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Monaco, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Monaco. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monaco x Toulouse

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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