Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Montpellier x Brest Betting tips for November 10 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
Montpellier Montpellier
PREDICTION Montpellier wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Brest Brest
ODD: @2.84 Don't miss this prediction!

Montpellier x Brest Betting tips for November 10 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Montpellier x Brest, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
16:00
Montpellier Montpellier
2.84
X
3.48
Brest Brest
2.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Montpellier x Brest:

🔮 Montpellier wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Montpellier, you can win up to $1420.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Montpellier x Brest:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $610.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Brest scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Brest, Montpellier scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Montpellier matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Brest matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Montpellier x Brest, with Montpellier as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Brest is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Montpellier x Brest?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Montpellier x Brest:

Analysis from Montpellier x Brest for the France Ligue 1 – 10 of November

🏟️ Montpellier X Brest – France Ligue 1
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Montpellier – Winning probability: 50.50% | Fair line: 1.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.67% | Fair line: 7.9
🔴 Brest – Winning probability: 36.84% | Fair line: 2.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Montpellier
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Montpellier x Brest is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218874 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Montpellier x Brest

Is it worth betting on Montpellier?

🔵 Montpellier: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $920.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$420.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $322.40;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$547.60.

Is it worth betting on Brest?

🔴 Brest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $492.10;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$137.90.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Montpellier x Brest

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Montpellier
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montpellier x Brest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Montpellier and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Montpellier.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Montpellier.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montpellier x Brest

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters