Montpellier x Lens Betting tips for January 31 in France Ligue 1
π
31/1/2025 19:45 |
![]() 3.96 |
X 3.80 |
Lens ![]() 1.83 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Montpellier x Lens:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Montpellier x Lens
The main points for the tip for Montpellier x Lens: π If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $365.0. |
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Analysis from Montpellier x Lens for the France Ligue 1 β 31 of January
ποΈ Montpellier X Lens β France Ligue 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Montpellier x Lens right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1254219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1Γ2 market for Montpellier x Lens
Is it a good idea to bet on Montpellier?
π΅ Montpellier: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.96. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times β profiting $532.80;
- And would lose other 820 times β having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$287.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times β profiting $756.00;
- And would lose other 730 times β having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$26.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it worth betting on Lens?
π΄ Lens: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 550 times β profiting $456.50;
- And would have lost other 450 times β with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$6.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Montpellier x Lens
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1Γ2: +0.75 Montpellier
β½ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1Γ2 market for Montpellier x Lens
β Handicap 1Γ2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Montpellier and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Montpellier.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1Γ2 is on: -0.5 Lens.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montpellier x Lens
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.