Montpellier x Lille Betting tips for December 1 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Montpellier x Lille, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 14:00

Montpellier 4.20

X 3.75

Lille 1.78

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Montpellier x Lille:

🔮 Lille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lille, you can win up to $890.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Montpellier x Lille: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $70.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $735.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lille scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Montpellier matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Lille has not lost any of them.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Montpellier x Lille?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Montpellier x Lille, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Montpellier x Lille for the France Ligue 1 – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Montpellier x Lille right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Montpellier x Lille

Is it worth betting on Montpellier?

🔵 Montpellier: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $576.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $550.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$250.00.

Should you bet on Lille?

🔴 Lille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $483.60;
• And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$103.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Montpellier x Lille

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Montpellier
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montpellier x Lille

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Montpellier, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Montpellier. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montpellier x Lille

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.