Montpellier x Nice Betting tips for December 15 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Montpellier x Nice, Sunday, 15/12/2024

📅 15/12/2024 14:00

Montpellier 3.57

X 3.60

Nice 2.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Montpellier x Nice:

🔮 Montpellier wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Montpellier, you can win up to $1785.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Montpellier x Nice: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $70.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nice scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Montpellier matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Montpellier x Nice?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Montpellier x Nice, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Montpellier x Nice for the France Ligue 1 – 15 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Montpellier x Nice right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236762 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Montpellier x Nice

Should you bet on Montpellier?

🔵 Montpellier: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $1028.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$428.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$352.00.

Should you bet on Nice?

🔴 Nice: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $430.00
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$140.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Montpellier x Nice

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Montpellier
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montpellier x Nice

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Montpellier, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Montpellier.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Nice.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montpellier x Nice

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.