Montpellier x Toulouse Betting tips for October 27 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Montpellier x Toulouse, Sunday, 27/10/2024

📅 27/10/2024 16:00

Montpellier 2.98

X 3.49

Toulouse 2.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Montpellier x Toulouse:

🔮 Toulouse wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toulouse, you can win up to $1125.00!

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The main points for the tip for Montpellier x Toulouse: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Toulouse in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Toulouse, Montpellier scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Montpellier matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Montpellier x Toulouse, with Montpellier as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Toulouse conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Montpellier x Toulouse?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Montpellier x Toulouse:

Analysis from Montpellier x Toulouse for the France Ligue 1 – 27 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Montpellier x Toulouse right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1209557 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Montpellier x Toulouse

Is it worth betting on Montpellier?

🔵 Montpellier: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $534.60;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$195.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $473.10;
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$336.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on Toulouse?

🔴 Toulouse: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $662.50
• And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$192.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Montpellier x Toulouse

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Montpellier
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montpellier x Toulouse

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Montpellier and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Montpellier.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Montpellier.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montpellier x Toulouse

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.