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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Nantes x Marseille Betting tips for November 3 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 19h45 France Ligue 1
Nantes Nantes
PREDICTION Marseille Wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Marseille Marseille
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Nantes x Marseille Betting tips for November 3 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Nantes x Marseille, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
19:45
Nantes Nantes
3.69
X
3.49
Marseille Marseille
2.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nantes x Marseille:

🔮 Marseille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Marseille, you can win up to $1000.00!

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Important information for your tip for Nantes x Marseille:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nantes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $370.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Nantes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Nantes x Marseille, with Nantes as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Nantes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Nantes conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Marseille.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nantes x Marseille?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Nantes x Marseille:

Analysis from Nantes x Marseille for the France Ligue 1 – 3 of November

🏟️ Nantes X Marseille – France Ligue 1
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Nantes – Winning probability: 19.88% | Fair line: 5.03
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.56% | Fair line: 4.24
🔴 Marseille – Winning probability: 56.56% | Fair line: 1.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Nantes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nantes x Marseille right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214487 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nantes x Marseille

Is it worth betting on Nantes?

🔵 Nantes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $538.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$262.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $597.60;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$162.40.

Is it worth betting on Marseille?

🔴 Marseille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $570.00;
  • And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$140.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nantes x Marseille

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Nantes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nantes x Marseille

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Nantes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Nantes.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nantes x Marseille

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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