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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Nantes x Monaco Betting tips for January 10 in France Ligue 1
Friday, 10 January 2025, 18h00 France Ligue 1
Nantes Nantes
PREDICTION Monaco Wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Monaco Monaco
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Nantes x Monaco Betting tips for January 10 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Nantes x Monaco, Friday, 10/1/2025
📅 10/1/2025
18:00
Nantes Nantes
4.10
X
3.60
Monaco Monaco
1.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nantes x Monaco:

🔮 Monaco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monaco, you can win up to $925.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Nantes x Monaco:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nantes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-399.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Monaco, Nantes scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Nantes x Monaco, with Nantes as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Nantes conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Monaco.
👉 Nantes has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Monaco playing at home.

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Nantes x Monaco for the France Ligue 1 – 10 of January

🏟️ Nantes X Monaco – France Ligue 1
📅 10 of January, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Nantes – Winning probability: 13.82% | Fair line: 7.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.61% | Fair line: 4.24
🔴 Monaco – Winning probability: 62.57% | Fair line: 1.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Nantes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nantes x Monaco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244129 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nantes x Monaco

Is it worth betting on Nantes?

🔵 Nantes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $434.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$426.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $624.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Monaco?

🔴 Monaco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $535.50;
  • And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$165.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Nantes x Monaco

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Nantes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nantes x Monaco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Nantes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Nantes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Monaco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nantes x Monaco

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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