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Home Β» Predictions Β» France Ligue 1 Β» Nantes x Reims Betting tips for September 15 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 15 September 2024, 12h00 France Ligue 1
Nantes Nantes
PREDICTION No tip
Reims Reims
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Nantes x Reims Betting tips for September 15 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Nantes x Reims, Sunday, 15/9/2024
πŸ“… 15/9/2024
12:00
Nantes Nantes
2.39
X
3.40
Reims Reims
2.82

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Nantes x Reims:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Nantes x Reims

The main points for the tip for Nantes x Reims:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nantes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Reims in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Nantes scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Nantes x Reims for the France Ligue 1 – 15 of September

🏟️ Nantes X Reims – France Ligue 1
πŸ“… 15 of September, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Nantes – Winning probability: 43.95% | Fair line: 2.28
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.26% | Fair line: 3.96
πŸ”΄ Reims – Winning probability: 30.79% | Fair line: 3.25
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nantes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nantes and Reims.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1180290 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nantes x Reims

Is betting on Nantes worth it?

πŸ”΅ Nantes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $611.60;
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$51.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$150.00.

Is it worth betting on Reims?

πŸ”΄ Reims: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $564.20
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$125.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nantes x Reims

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nantes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nantes x Reims

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Nantes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Nantes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Reims.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nantes x Reims

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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