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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Nice x Auxerre Betting tips for March 14 in France Ligue 1
Friday, 14 March 2025, 19h45 France Ligue 1
Nice Nice
PREDICTION Nice wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Auxerre Auxerre
ODD: @1.52 Don't miss this prediction!

Nice x Auxerre Betting tips for March 14 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Nice x Auxerre, Friday, 14/3/2025
📅 14/3/2025
19:45
Nice Nice
1.52
X
4.33
Auxerre Auxerre
5.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nice x Auxerre:

🔮 Nice wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nice, you can win up to $760.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Nice x Auxerre:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $123.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Auxerre scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Nice matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Nice has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Auxerre playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Nice x Auxerre?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nice x Auxerre, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Nice x Auxerre for the France Ligue 1 – 14 of March

🏟️ Nice X Auxerre – France Ligue 1
📅 14 of March, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Nice – Winning probability: 76.11% | Fair line: 1.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.96% | Fair line: 5.9
🔴 Auxerre – Winning probability: 6.93% | Fair line: 14.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Nice
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nice and Auxerre.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1280623 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nice x Auxerre

Should you bet on Nice?

🔵 Nice: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 76.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $395.20
  • And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$155.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $566.10;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$263.90.

Is betting on Auxerre worth it?

🔴 Auxerre: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $332.50
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$597.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Nice x Auxerre

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Nice
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nice x Auxerre

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Nice and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Nice.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Auxerre.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nice x Auxerre

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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