Nice x Lille Betting tips for November 10 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 10/11/2024 14:00 |
 Nice2.66 |
X 3.20 |
Lille  2.64 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Nice x Lille:
🔮 Lille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lille, you can win up to $1320.00!
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The main points for the tip for Nice x Lille: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0. |
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Analysis from Nice x Lille for the France Ligue 1 – 10 of November
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🏟️ Nice X Lille – France Ligue 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nice x Lille right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218874 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Nice x Lille
Should you bet on Nice?
🔵 Nice: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 370 times – profiting $614.20;
- And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$15.80.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.
Should you bet on Lille?
🔴 Lille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $688.80
- And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$108.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nice x Lille
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nice
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nice x Lille
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Nice, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Nice.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Lille.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nice x Lille
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
