Nice x Lorient Betting tips for February 22 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Nice x Lorient, Sunday, 22/2/2026

📅 22/2/2026 16:15

Nice 2.12

X 3.40

Lorient 3.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nice x Lorient:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!

🔮 Lorient wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lorient, you can win up to $1625.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Nice x Lorient:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lorient in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $625.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Lorient, Nice scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Lorient did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
👉 Nice has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Lorient playing at home.

🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Nice vs Lorient?

Lets analyze the match between Nice and Lorient, which will take place at the Allianz Riviera stadium, home of Nice, a modern stadium with a capacity of 35,000 spectators, which could favor the home team due to fan support. ⚽️🏟️

📈 Performance analysis and table:
Nice has shown defensive fragility in Ligue 1, conceding 40 goals this season and ranking 14th, fighting to escape relegation zone. Despite that, in their recent home games, they have a good unbeaten record (2 wins and 3 draws). Lorient, on the other hand, is on a hot streak away from home: won 4 of the last 5 away matches, scoring many goals (15) and conceding few (4), demonstrating offensive strength and defensive solidity.

📰 Recent news:
Nice recently underwent coaching changes after poor results, which could negatively impact their tactical stability. Conversely, Lorient maintains a consistent squad with key players contributing regularly to recent good results.

Based on median odds, the implied normalized probabilities are:
– Nice win: ~44%
– Draw: ~27%
– Lorient win: ~29%

Analyzing the teams average offensive/defensive stats in recent matches (goals scored vs. conceded), along with the stadium factor favoring Nice but considering their unstable form against a strong Lorient away, I estimate fair probabilities close to:
– Nice win: 40%
– Draw: 30%
– Lorient win: 30%

Thus, fair odds would be approximately:
Nice – @2.50
Draw – @3.33
Lorient – @3.33

Compared to the final odds offered by bookmakers:
Nice @2.05
Draw @3.6
Lorient @3.4

There is positive value mainly in the draw (@3.6 vs fair ~3.33) and also in the away win (@3.4 vs fair ~3.33). The Bets Kenya model suggests value in the draw (+9%) and the away win (+6%), I fully agree with this assessment! 👍

Bet suggestion: betting on the draw or even considering Lorients away victory, given their good form outside, are interesting bets here due to the positive expected value above +5%. I would avoid heavy bets on Nices win despite them playing at home because of news about technical instability.

In summary, a balanced game where the home team favoritism is moderated by recent poor form; therefore, seeking higher odds on other options provides more security for those looking for value in bets! 🎯💰

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nice x Lorient?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nice x Lorient, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Nice x Lorient for the France Ligue 1 – 22 of February

Latest news on the match between Nice and Lorient

OGC Nice: OGC Nice has been facing difficulties in Ligue 1, currently sitting in 14th place with only six points ahead of the relegation zone after a 2-0 defeat to Lyon, which left the team with the second-worst defensive record, having conceded 40 goals this season; the club also dismissed head coach Francesco Haïssé in December, after just five wins in 16 league matches, and he has since transferred to Rennes. In the transfer market, Nice has been linked to young full-back Genesis Antwi as part of its recruitment strategy; in the youth sector, Nices U-19 team maintained a positive streak, beating Montpellier U19 2-1 on February 15, 2026, and is scheduled to face Balma SC U19 on March 8, 2026, in the Championnat National U19.

Lorient: Lorients main team continued its good performance in Ligue 1, securing a 2-0 victory over Angers, while the clubs womens team in Division 3 Féminine drew 1-1 with ESOF Vendée La Roche-sur-Yon on February 15, 2026, with Yama Lelo scoring at 67 minutes and Louise Lehoux opening the scoring at 3 minutes; Lorient B is scheduled to face US Granville in a National 2 match on February 21, 2026, and the U-19 team will travel to face Stade Briochin U19 on March 8, 2026. Key players for the main squad in the 2025-26 season include forwards Tosin Aiyegun, Bamba Dieng, and Pablo Pagis, along with midfielder Théo Le Bris, who have regularly contributed with performances and goals.

France Ligue 1 table analysis for Nice x Lorient

Nice: Nice is in 14th place with 23 points, holding a quite uncomfortable position on the table, but still above the relegation zone. The team has a 6-point lead over the first team in the relegation zone (Auxerre with 17 points). With the championship still ongoing, this game is very important for Nice, as a victory would help to increase the gap from the bottom of the table and secure their stay in Ligue 1 more comfortably.

Lorient: Lorient is in 9th place with 31 points, in an intermediate position on the table, far from the European competition qualification zone, but also with a good advantage over the danger zone. They are 7 points behind the 6th place team, making the fight for European spots unlikely at this moment. Therefore, the game has moderate importance for Lorient, mainly to maintain stability and avoid the closeness of teams threatened by relegation.

Summary: The match is important for both teams, especially for Nice, which is fighting to move away from relegation, while Lorient tries to keep its safe position on the table. A match with more pressure on Nice, which urgently needs points to guarantee its stay in the first division.

How the handicap and odds moved for Nice x Lorient

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Nice x Lorient.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nice x Lorient

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nice x Lorient right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1483644 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is betting on Nice worth it?

🔵 Nice: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $403.20;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$236.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $720.00;
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$20.00.

Is betting on Lorient worth it?

🔴 Lorient: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $765.00
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$105.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nice x Lorient

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Nice
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nice x Lorient

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Nice, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Nice.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nice x Lorient

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Nice x Lorient