Nice x Monaco Betting tips for February 8 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Nice x Monaco, Sunday, 8/2/2026

📅 8/2/2026 14:00

Nice 3.04

X 3.60

Monaco 2.14

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Nice x Monaco:

🔮 Monaco wins the match
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The main points for the tip for Nice x Monaco:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $80.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-209.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Nice scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Nice matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Nice conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Nice conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Monaco.

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Nice vs Monaco:

Lets analyze the match between Nice and Monaco at Allianz Riviera, the stadium that is Nices home, which already gives them a slight advantage. Nice has shown strength at home, with 3 wins and no losses in their last 5 games at their stadium, averaging 2 goals per game and conceding only 1. Monaco, on the other hand, has a more irregular performance away from home, with 2 wins and 2 losses in their recent away games, averaging just 1 goal scored and conceding twice as much.

The median odds indicate favoritism towards Monaco (2.15), followed by a draw (3.6), and a Nice win (3.04). Converting these odds into normalized implied probabilities, we get approximately: Nice win ~32%, draw ~27%, Monaco win ~41%. Considering recent statistics — especially Nices defensive solidity at home against Monacos defensive vulnerability away — I would adjust these probabilities to something close to: Nice win ~35%, draw ~30%, Monaco win ~35%. This suggests a balanced game but with a slight edge to the home team at Allianz Riviera.

Calculating the fair odds based on this analysis, we get values close to: Nice @2.85, Draw @3.33, Monaco @2.85. Compared to the final odds offered by bookmakers (Nice @3.1; Draw @3.75; Monaco @2.15), there is interesting value in the draw market and in betting on Nice.

The expected value analysis confirms this: betting on the home team win or a draw yields a positive EV above 5%, while betting on Monaco does not present a positive expected value due to the low final odds compared to the realistic probability.

📰 Recent news: Nice comes energized after an exciting comeback in the French Cup against Montpellier, showing resilience despite difficulties in Ligue 1 where they are mid-table with an irregular but still competitive home record.
AS Monaco has made important signings to strengthen their squad for the Champions League knockout stages, despite injuries weighing heavily — this could negatively impact their away performance at this delicate point of the season.

📈 In the standings, both teams are in a situation that demands points — Nice seeks to move away from the relegation zone, while Monaco aims to stay firmly in the top spots for future European competitions; this need increases the intensity of the match, making it unpredictable but slightly favorable to the home team due to extra motivation playing in front of their fans.

Final analysis:
The Bets Kenya club model indicates a clear favoritism to the visitor without a positive expected value in the suggested bets (-11% EV for the home team). I disagree with this view because I believe playing at Allianz Riviera gives Nice a real chance greater than what the model suggests.
My suggestion is to look for bets in the “Win or Draw” for Nice market, taking advantage of attractive odds close to 3x or even consider a direct bet on their recent good home record.
This approach offers greater security combined with good potential return! ⚽🔥

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Analysis from Nice x Monaco for the France Ligue 1 – 8 of February

Latest news on the match between Nice and Monaco

Nice: Nice achieved a dramatic comeback victory of 3-2 over Montpellier in the Coupe de France, with Sofiane Diop scoring a curling goal in stoppage time after the team had fallen behind 2-0. However, the clubs campaign in Ligue 1 remains inconsistent, sitting 13th with six wins, four draws, and ten losses, along with a negative goal difference of 11 after 20 matches under coach Claude Puel. They will face Montpellier again on February 4, 2026, in the next round of the cup. European hopes were dashed when they were eliminated 1-0 by Ludogorets Razgrad in the Europa League knockout stage, marking their ninth consecutive away defeat in major European competitions.

AS Monaco: AS Monaco has been very active during the winter transfer window, signing Sunderland winger Simon Adingra on loan (with an option to buy for 17 million euros) and Belgian defender Wout Faes. Both are expected to start in the upcoming Champions League knockout against Paris Saint-Germain, after the club removed Paul Pogba, Mohammed Salisu, and Takumi Minamino from the UCL squad list due to injury issues – Pogba is still recovering from a calf injury that has kept him out since early December – while Krepin Diatta, Faes, and Adingra have been called up. Recently, Monaco secured a 4-0 league victory over Rennes but was eliminated from the Coupe de France by Strasbourg 3-1, a defeat that sparked protests from fans against club management. The PSG-Monaco clash will be played over two legs on February 17-18 and 24-25, with Monaco relying on their new signings to compete despite losing key senior players.

France Ligue 1 table analysis for Nice x Monaco

Nice: Nice is currently in 13th place with 22 points, close to the relegation zone, but still with some safety margin over the bottom three teams, which have 14, 13, and 12 points. With a negative goal difference (-11) and a record including 6 wins and 10 losses, the team needs to earn points to move away permanently from danger. Therefore, this game is important for Nice, as a victory could provide more peace of mind in the relegation battle. Its a chance to distance themselves from threatened teams and improve their position on the table.

Monaco: Monaco is in 10th place with 27 points, five more than Nice, and in a comfortable position, far from the risk of relegation but also out of the fight for European competition spots. With 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, Monaco doesnt face direct pressure to improve their standing but can use the game to solidify their mid-table position. The match isnt decisive for Monaco but can help maintain a smooth campaign.

Summary: This matchup is more important for Nice, which is fighting to escape relegation, while Monaco has a more relaxed scenario and can approach the game with less pressure. Therefore, the game is important for one of the teams, Nice.

Odds and handicap movements for Nice x Monaco

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Nice x Monaco.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nice x Monaco

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nice x Monaco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1475397 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it a good idea to bet on Nice?

🔵 Nice: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $530.40
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$209.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on Monaco?

🔴 Monaco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $581.40
• And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$91.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nice x Monaco

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Nice
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nice x Monaco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Nice and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Nice.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Nice.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nice x Monaco

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Nice x Monaco