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Home Β» Predictions Β» France Ligue 1 Β» Nice x Monaco Betting tips for October 27 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 27 October 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
Nice Nice
PREDICTION No tip
Monaco Monaco
Don't miss this prediction!

Nice x Monaco Betting tips for October 27 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Nice x Monaco, Sunday, 27/10/2024
πŸ“… 27/10/2024
16:00
Nice Nice
2.88
X
3.43
Monaco Monaco
2.35

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nice x Monaco:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Nice x Monaco

Some important points for the tip for Nice x Monaco:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $690.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Nice scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Monaco scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Monaco matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Nice conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Monaco.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Monaco has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Nice x Monaco?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Nice x Monaco for the France Ligue 1 – 27 of October

🏟️ Nice X Monaco – France Ligue 1
πŸ“… 27 of October, 2024 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Nice – Winning probability: 26.64% | Fair line: 3.75
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.59% | Fair line: 3.5
πŸ”΄ Monaco – Winning probability: 44.78% | Fair line: 2.23
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Nice
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nice x Monaco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1209557 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nice x Monaco

Is it worth betting on Nice?

πŸ”΅ Nice: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $507.60;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$222.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $704.70
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$5.30. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on Monaco?

πŸ”΄ Monaco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $607.50
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$57.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nice x Monaco

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Nice
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nice x Monaco

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Nice and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Nice.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Nice.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nice x Monaco

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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