Nice x St Etienne Betting tips for September 20 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Nice x St Etienne, Friday, 20/9/2024

📅 20/9/2024 15:45

Nice 1.62

X 3.92

St Etienne 5.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nice x St Etienne:

🔮 Nice wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nice, you can win up to $810.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Nice x St Etienne: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-345.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on St Etienne in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. 👉 St Etienne did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Nice scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Nice conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, St Etienne conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Nice conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against St Etienne. 👉 It is not a good time for St Etienne as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Nice x St Etienne?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nice x St Etienne, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Nice x St Etienne for the France Ligue 1 – 20 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nice x St Etienne right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184054 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nice x St Etienne

Is betting on Nice worth it?

🔵 Nice: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 770 times – profiting $477.40;
• And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$247.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $467.20;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$372.80.

Should you bet on St Etienne?

🔴 St Etienne: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $294.00;
• And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$636.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nice x St Etienne

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Nice
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nice x St Etienne

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Nice and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Nice.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nice x St Etienne

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.