Nice x Strasbourg Betting tips for January 3 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 3/1/2026 18:00 |
Nice2.74 |
X 3.41 |
Strasbourg ![]() 2.45 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Nice x Strasbourg:
🔮 Nice wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nice, you can win up to $1370.00!
Some important points for the tip for Nice x Strasbourg:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Strasbourg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Strasbourg, Nice scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Strasbourg matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Nice conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Nice has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Strasbourg playing at home.
🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Nice vs Strasbourg:
⚽ The match between Nice and Strasbourg promises to be an interesting duel in Ligue 1, played at Allianz Riviera, Nices official stadium, which gives them a slight advantage. Analyzing recent statistics, Nice has faced difficulties at home with only 1 win in the last 5 games and conceding more goals (11) than they scored (4). Strasbourg, on the other hand, shows better performance away with 2 wins and a lower average of goals conceded. The Bets Kenya model suggests value in a Nice victory with a positive EV of +13.66%, but the final odds indicate a balanced contest.
📈 In the table, Strasbourg is in a comfortable position securing a spot in the UEFA Conference League and should play more relaxed; Nice is seeking recovery after a negative streak, and recent reinforcements like Elye Wahi could give extra energy to seek the home win.
📰 News reports show that Claude Puel was rehired as Nices coach precisely to break the bad streak — they have already managed to win the French Cup under his command — while Strasbourg maintains stability under Liam Rosenior. This reinforces the idea that Nice will have extra motivation playing at their stadium to turn this game around.
My analysis indicates fair probabilities close to the median odds: about 37% for Nices win, 29% for a draw, and 34% for Strasbourgs victory after normalization of the bookmakers margins. Considering the offensive/defensive data of the teams and recent news, I see real value in betting on Nices victory, as despite recent poor numbers, they have strong motivation to react in front of their home crowd at Allianz Riviera.
Therefore, I fully agree with the Bets Kenya models suggestion: betting on Nice is the best choice here! 💪🏠
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Analysis from Nice x Strasbourg for the France Ligue 1 – 3 of January
🏟️ Nice X Strasbourg – France Ligue 1
📅 3 of January, 2026 – 18:00
🔵 Nice – Winning probability: 37.68% | Fair line: 2.65
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.83% | Fair line: 3.87
🔴 Strasbourg – Winning probability: 36.49% | Fair line: 2.74
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nice
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Latest news on Nice x Strasbourg
OGC Nice: Claude Puel has been rehired as the head coach of OGC Nice, replacing Franck Haise, as the club seeks to break a nine-match losing streak; under his leadership, Nice ended the streak with a 2-1 victory in the French Cup against Saint-Étienne and will return from the winter break to face RC Strasbourg at home on January 3, 2026. Additionally, the team has advanced in signing forward Elye Wahi from Eintracht Frankfurt, completing their summer transfer campaign.
RC Strasbourg: RC Strasbourg, officially Racing Club de Strasbourg Alsace, competes in Frances Ligue 1 and secured qualification for the UEFA Conference League this season, currently holding 7th place in Ligue 1 standings and around 25th among European clubs; the team is managed by Liam Rosenior and hosts its matches at Stade de la Meinau, with a capacity of 26,109 spectators. Founded on January 1, 1906, their next match will be at home against Nice on January 3, 2026, followed by a Ligue 1 fixture against Paris Saint-Germain on February 1, 2026, also at Meinau.
Table analysis for the match between Nice and Strasbourg
Nice: Nice is currently in 13th place with 17 points, far from the spots for European competitions and comfortably above the relegation zone, which starts at 18th place with 11 points. Given this situation, the match against Strasbourg will not have a decisive impact for Nice at this stage of the season; the team seems to be in an intermediate state of calm without major immediate goals to climb the table or imminent risk of relegation.
Strasbourg: Strasbourg holds 7th place with 23 points, close to spots for continental tournaments like the UEFA Europa League and Conference League. They are only 4 points behind 5th place (European spots) and can move up significantly with a win. Therefore, this match is important for Strasbourg, which aims to secure a better position to compete for international competition spots, making the match relevant to their goal.
Summary: The game is more important for Strasbourg, which is still fighting for European positions, while Nice faces a less impactful match in their league battle. Therefore, the duel is important for one team but not for both.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Nice x Strasbourg
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nice x Strasbourg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1458121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Is it worth betting on Nice?
🔵 Nice: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $661.20;
- And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$41.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $626.60;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$113.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Strasbourg?
🔴 Strasbourg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $522.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$118.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nice x Strasbourg
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nice
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nice x Strasbourg
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Nice, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Nice.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Strasbourg.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nice x Strasbourg
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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