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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » PSG x Lens Betting tips for November 2 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 16h00 France Ligue 1
PSG PSG
PREDICTION PSG wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Lens Lens
ODD: @1.49 Don't miss this prediction!

PSG x Lens Betting tips for November 2 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for PSG x Lens, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
16:00
PSG PSG
1.49
X
4.50
Lens Lens
5.78

Our algorithm has selected this tip for PSG x Lens:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $745.00!

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The main points for the tip for PSG x Lens:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-347.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Lens, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, PSG conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, PSG conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Lens.
👉 Lens is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Lens has not lost any of them.
👉 PSG has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Lens playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on PSG x Lens?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on PSG x Lens:

Analysis from PSG x Lens for the France Ligue 1 – 2 of November

🏟️ PSG X Lens – France Ligue 1
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 PSG – Winning probability: 86.83% | Fair line: 1.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.66% | Fair line: 11.55
🔴 Lens – Winning probability: 4.50% | Fair line: 22.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSG x Lens right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213968 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PSG x Lens

Is betting on PSG worth it?

🔵 PSG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $426.30;
  • And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$296.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $315.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$595.00.

Is it worth betting on Lens?

🔴 Lens: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $239.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$711.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x Lens

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x Lens

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 PSG and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 PSG.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 PSG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x Lens

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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