PSG x Lyon Betting tips for December 15 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for PSG x Lyon, Sunday, 15/12/2024

📅 15/12/2024 19:45

PSG 1.44

X 5.10

Lyon 5.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PSG x Lyon:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $720.00!

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The main points for the tip for PSG x Lyon: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-224.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-143.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Lyon scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, PSG conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Lyon. 👉 PSG is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 5 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession. 👉 In the last 8 road matches, Lyon has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from PSG x Lyon for the France Ligue 1 – 15 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSG x Lyon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1236762 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PSG x Lyon

Is betting on PSG worth it?

🔵 PSG: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 890 times – this would give you a profit of $391.60
• And would lose other 110 times – having a loss of -$110.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$281.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $205.00;
• And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$745.00.

Should you bet on Lyon?

🔴 Lyon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $288.00
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$652.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x Lyon

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x Lyon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 PSG, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 PSG.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x Lyon

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.