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Home ยป Predictions ยป France Ligue 1 ยป PSG x Monaco Betting tips for November 24 in France Ligue 1
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 France Ligue 1
PSG PSG
PREDICTION PSG wins Probability 4% 1 X 2
Monaco Monaco
ODD: @1.46 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

PSG x Monaco Betting tips for November 24 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for PSG x Monaco, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
20:00
PSG PSG
1.46
X
4.82
Monaco Monaco
5.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for PSG x Monaco:

๐Ÿ”ฎ PSG wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $730.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for PSG x Monaco:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $238.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ PSG did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, PSG scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between PSG x Monaco, with PSG as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 PSG matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ PSG is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 7 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
๐Ÿ‘‰ PSG is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for PSG x Monaco

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Summary

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Analysis from PSG x Monaco for the France Ligue 1 – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ PSG X Monaco – France Ligue 1
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต PSG – Winning probability: 75.39% | Fair line: 1.33
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.93% | Fair line: 5.02
๐Ÿ”ด Monaco – Winning probability: 4.68% | Fair line: 21.36
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 PSG
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PSG and Monaco.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PSG x Monaco

Is it a good idea to bet on PSG?

๐Ÿ”ต PSG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $345.00;
  • And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$95.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $764.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$36.00.

Should you bet on Monaco?

๐Ÿ”ด Monaco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $245.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$705.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x Monaco

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 PSG
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x Monaco

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 PSG, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 PSG.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 PSG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x Monaco

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves