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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » PSG x Nantes Betting tips for November 30 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 20h00 France Ligue 1
PSG PSG
PREDICTION PSG wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
Nantes Nantes
ODD: @1.21 Don't miss this prediction!

PSG x Nantes Betting tips for November 30 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for PSG x Nantes, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
20:00
PSG PSG
1.21
X
6.50
Nantes Nantes
10.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PSG x Nantes:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $605.00!

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Some important points for the tip for PSG x Nantes:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-102.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nantes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Nantes, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between PSG x Nantes, with PSG as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Nantes conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 PSG is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
👉 PSG has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Nantes.
👉 It is not a good time for Nantes as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from PSG x Nantes for the France Ligue 1 – 30 of November

🏟️ PSG X Nantes – France Ligue 1
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 PSG – Winning probability: 97.31% | Fair line: 1.03
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.80% | Fair line: 55.42
🔴 Nantes – Winning probability: 0.88% | Fair line: 113.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PSG and Nantes.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PSG x Nantes

Should you bet on PSG?

🔵 PSG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 97.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 970 times – profiting $203.70;
  • And would lose other 30 times – losing -$30.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$173.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $110.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$870.00.

Is betting on Nantes worth it?

🔴 Nantes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 10.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $90.00;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$900.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x Nantes

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x Nantes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 PSG, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 PSG. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x Nantes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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