PSG x Paris FC Betting tips for January 4 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 4/1/2026 19:45 |
 PSG1.21 |
X 6.55 |
Paris FC  11.50 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for PSG x Paris FC:
🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $605.00!
Important information for your tip for PSG x Paris FC:
👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Paris FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $114.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from PSG x Paris FC for the France Ligue 1 – 4 of January
🏟️ PSG X Paris FC – France Ligue 1
📅 4 of January, 2026 – 19:45
🔵 PSG – Winning probability: 95.57% | Fair line: 1.05
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.24% | Fair line: 44.68
🔴 Paris FC – Winning probability: 2.19% | Fair line: 45.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Tips for the Match Odds market for PSG x Paris FC
When the best bet on PSG x Paris FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1457948 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Should you bet on PSG?
🔵 PSG: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 95.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 960 times – profiting $201.60;
- And would have lost other 40 times – with a loss of -$40.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$161.60.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – profiting $111.00;
- And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$869.00.
Should you bet on Paris FC?
🔴 Paris FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 11.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $210.00
- And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$770.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x Paris FC
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x Paris FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 PSG and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 PSG.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Paris FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x Paris FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
