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Home ยป Predictions ยป France Ligue 1 ยป PSG x Toulouse Betting tips for November 22 in France Ligue 1
Friday, 22 November 2024, 20h00 France Ligue 1
PSG PSG
PREDICTION PSG wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
Toulouse Toulouse
ODD: @1.31 Don't miss this prediction!

PSG x Toulouse Betting tips for November 22 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for PSG x Toulouse, Friday, 22/11/2024
๐Ÿ“… 22/11/2024
20:00
PSG PSG
1.31
X
5.75
Toulouse Toulouse
8.18

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for PSG x Toulouse:

๐Ÿ”ฎ PSG wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $655.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for PSG x Toulouse:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Toulouse in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Toulouse scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Toulouse, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ PSG is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on PSG x Toulouse?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on PSG x Toulouse, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from PSG x Toulouse for the France Ligue 1 โ€“ 22 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ PSG X Toulouse โ€“ France Ligue 1
๐Ÿ“… 22 of November, 2024 โ€“ 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต PSG โ€“ Winning probability: 85.80% | Fair line: 1.17
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 8.91% | Fair line: 11.23
๐Ÿ”ด Toulouse โ€“ Winning probability: 5.30% | Fair line: 18.88
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -1.25 PSG
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PSG and Toulouse.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225593 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for PSG x Toulouse

Is it a good idea to bet on PSG?

๐Ÿ”ต PSG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 860 times โ€“ having a profit of $266.60;
  • And would have lost other 140 times โ€“ with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$126.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times โ€“ having a profit of $427.50;
  • And would lose other 910 times โ€“ losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$482.50.

Should you bet on Toulouse?

๐Ÿ”ด Toulouse: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times โ€“ profiting $359.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times โ€“ losing -$950.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$591.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x Toulouse

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -1.25 PSG
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for PSG x Toulouse

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 PSG and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 PSG.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: 1.75 Toulouse.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x Toulouse

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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