Reims x Brest Betting tips for October 26 in France Ligue 1
π
26/10/2024 17:00 |
Reims 2.30 |
X 3.45 |
Brest 3.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Reims x Brest:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Reims x Brest
Some important points for the tip for Reims x Brest: π If you had bet $100 on Reims in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-33.0. |
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Analysis from Reims x Brest for the France Ligue 1 – 26 of October
ποΈ Reims X Brest – France Ligue 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Reims x Brest right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1209027 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Reims x Brest
Should you bet on Reims?
π΅ Reims: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 470 times – profiting $611.00;
- And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$81.00.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $612.50;
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$137.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Brest?
π΄ Brest: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$160.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Reims x Brest
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Reims
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Reims x Brest
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Reims and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Reims.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Reims.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Reims x Brest
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.