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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Reims x Monaco Betting tips for December 14 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 14 December 2024, 20h00 France Ligue 1
Reims Reims
PREDICTION Monaco Wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Monaco Monaco
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Reims x Monaco Betting tips for December 14 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Reims x Monaco, Saturday, 14/12/2024
📅 14/12/2024
20:00
Reims Reims
3.30
X
3.60
Monaco Monaco
2.05

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Reims x Monaco:

🔮 Monaco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Monaco, you can win up to $1025.00!

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The main points for the tip for Reims x Monaco:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Reims in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
👉 In the last 3 Monaco matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Reims conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Monaco conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Reims x Monaco for the France Ligue 1 – 14 of December

🏟️ Reims X Monaco – France Ligue 1
📅 14 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Reims – Winning probability: 18.41% | Fair line: 5.43
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.15% | Fair line: 4.52
🔴 Monaco – Winning probability: 59.44% | Fair line: 1.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Reims
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Reims x Monaco is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1236358 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Reims x Monaco

Should you bet on Reims?

🔵 Reims: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $414.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$406.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is betting on Monaco worth it?

🔴 Monaco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $619.50
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$209.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Reims x Monaco

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Reims
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Reims x Monaco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Reims, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Reims.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Monaco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Reims x Monaco

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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