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Home ยป Predictions ยป Rennes x Lens Betting tips for September 21 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 21 September 2024, 14h00 France Ligue 1
Rennes Rennes
PREDICTION Lens Wins Probability 38% 1 X 2
Lens Lens
ODD: @2.72 Don't miss this prediction!

Rennes x Lens Betting tips for September 21 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Rennes x Lens, Saturday, 21/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 21/9/2024
14:00
Rennes Rennes
2.45
X
3.30
Lens Lens
2.72

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Rennes x Lens:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Lens wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lens, you can win up to $1360.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Rennes x Lens:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rennes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $478.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-178.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Rennes did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Rennes scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Lens matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Rennes x Lens, with Rennes as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Rennes conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Lens.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Rennes is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Rennes x Lens for the France Ligue 1 – 21 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Rennes X Lens – France Ligue 1
๐Ÿ“… 21 of September, 2024 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Rennes – Winning probability: 37.90% | Fair line: 2.64
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.88% | Fair line: 4.19
๐Ÿ”ด Lens – Winning probability: 38.22% | Fair line: 2.62
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Rennes
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Rennes and Lens.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184423 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Rennes x Lens

Should you bet on Rennes?

๐Ÿ”ต Rennes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $551.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$69.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $552.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on Lens?

๐Ÿ”ด Lens: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $653.60
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$33.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rennes x Lens

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Rennes
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rennes x Lens

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Rennes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Rennes.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rennes x Lens

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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